IFs

International Futures (IFs) model, is a sophisticated and comprehensive forecasting modeling system that produces forecasts for 186 countries to the year 2100. Below is an interactive diagram of the IFs model structure, designed to help you understand how IFs builds its forecasts.

The network diagram begins with a bird’s-eye-view of the main submodules within IFs: agriculture, economy, education, energy, environment, socio-politcal, health, infrastructure, international politics, population, and human development, and the basic connections between each. You can use the interface controls to drill down through categories and subcategories within each module to individual variables and parameters, follow connections from one variable or category to another, or even search for specific variables and connections. Click here to explore the network diagram beta version.

Each main module can be expanded into its constituent segments by either double clicking the node or by using the tree on the right side of the screen. The nodes can be collapsed by either right-clicking the node or by using the tree. A single click on any node will display information about the module, segment, or variable/parameter in the information tab at the bottom of the screen. Links to the help system of IFs will also appear in the information tab. You can load saved states using the “action” option in the top left corner of the screen or make your own diagrams using the “save” option.

IFs can help you better recognize possible unintended long-term consequences of action or inaction today. In the same vein, IFs can help you identify more effective avenues for achieving your goals.