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Careful selection of forest types in afforestation can increase carbon sequestration by 25% without compromising sustainability

Afforestation is a major carbon dioxide removal technology but can negatively affect food and land systems. In this article, the authors used an integrated assessment model to quantitatively demonstrate how the selection of forest type to use in afforestation could increase global carbon sequestration without compromising global food and land

Afforestation is a major carbon dioxide removal technology but can negatively affect food and land systems. In this article, the authors used an integrated assessment model to quantitatively demonstrate how the selection of forest type to use in afforestation could increase global carbon sequestration without compromising global food and land sustainability. Their findings indicate that if a carbon-intensive forest type is selected, afforestation would increase carbon sequestration by 25% compared to the level assuming the native forest type. At the same time, if implemented inappropriately at a large scale, afforestation would worsen the economy, food, and land systems due to decreased land efficiency in carbon removal compared to bioenergy with carbon capture and storage, leading to increased land expansion for carbon removal, higher food prices, and increased risk of hunger. These results suggest the need to implement carbon-intensive forest types with complementary measures to reduce the adverse impacts on food and land sustainability.

Careful selection of forest types in afforestation can increase carbon sequestration by 25% without compromising sustainability
Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Akihiko Ito & Kiyoshi Takahashi

More publications

A harmonised dataset for Earth system foundation models

Foundation models for Earth systems have so far been trained primarily on physical climate and weather data, with limited representation of the human systems that both drive and respond to environmental change. The lack of a unified global training resource that combines climate, land, ocean, cryosphere, infrastructure, hazards, and socioeconomic